Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,939 Wol.
$77,939 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,939 Wol.
$77,939 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$1,075 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,073 Wol.
No
24°C
$2,154 Wol.
No
25°C
$7,376 Wol.
No
26°C
$8,924 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,432 Wol.
No
28°C
$9,478 Wol.
No
29°C
$11,822 Wol.
No
30°C
$23,339 Wol.
Yes
31°C
$3,487 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$780 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$77,939Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$77,939Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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