A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on June 23?
Highest temperature in London on June 23?
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$291,597 Wol.
$291,597 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
32°C or below
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
32°C or below 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$291,597 Wol.
$291,597 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
32°C or below
$80,592 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$30,687 Wol.
No
34°C
$46,932 Wol.
No
35°C
$37,585 Wol.
No
36°C
$27,225 Wol.
No
37°C
$22,769 Wol.
No
38°C
$22,279 Wol.
No
39°C
$9,832 Wol.
No
40°C
$6,234 Wol.
No
41°C
$3,728 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$3,734 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$291,597Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$291,597Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
A strengthening high-pressure system and associated heat dome are driving the current market positioning, with official Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts pointing to peak temperatures of 34–38 °C across London on 23 June. Warm advection from the near-continent, combined with clear skies and light winds, favors rapid daytime warming, while recent amber heat-health alerts reflect growing model consensus that 35 °C will be exceeded. Forecaster updates in the past 48 hours have nudged higher-end scenarios toward 37–38 °C in parts of the southeast, yet spread among runs leaves room for a lower outcome if cloud or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Final guidance from the Met Office and updated high-resolution runs on 22 June will be the key catalysts likely to shift trader probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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