Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles on August 3 following a brief heat episode that prompted Extreme Heat Warnings through August 2. Increased onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to limit afternoon highs, keeping readings centered in the upper 70s to low 80s at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 78–79 °F (46 %) and 76–77 °F (27 %), as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts that show reduced warming potential compared with interior valleys. Historical August climatology supports typical daily highs near 84 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model cycles and any shifts in the marine inversion will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
$122 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$458 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$102 Wol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,655 Wol.
27%
78-79°F
$748 Wol.
46%
80-81°F
$1,026 Wol.
22%
82-83°F
$342 Wol.
4%
84-85°F
$197 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$219 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$176 Wol.
1%
90°F or higher
$180 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles on August 3 following a brief heat episode that prompted Extreme Heat Warnings through August 2. Increased onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to limit afternoon highs, keeping readings centered in the upper 70s to low 80s at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 78–79 °F (46 %) and 76–77 °F (27 %), as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts that show reduced warming potential compared with interior valleys. Historical August climatology supports typical daily highs near 84 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model cycles and any shifts in the marine inversion will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,226Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles on August 3 following a brief heat episode that prompted Extreme Heat Warnings through August 2. Increased onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to limit afternoon highs, keeping readings centered in the upper 70s to low 80s at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 78–79 °F (46 %) and 76–77 °F (27 %), as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts that show reduced warming potential compared with interior valleys. Historical August climatology supports typical daily highs near 84 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model cycles and any shifts in the marine inversion will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,226Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles on August 3 following a brief heat episode that prompted Extreme Heat Warnings through August 2. Increased onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to limit afternoon highs, keeping readings centered in the upper 70s to low 80s at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 78–79 °F (46 %) and 76–77 °F (27 %), as traders incorporate the latest short-range forecasts that show reduced warming potential compared with interior valleys. Historical August climatology supports typical daily highs near 84 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model cycles and any shifts in the marine inversion will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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