Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs converged on a daily maximum of 78–79°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 3, supported by persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer that suppressed coastal warming. This setup aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles basin, where stratus clouds and cool Pacific air keep highs well below inland values. Official observations and post-event verification have reinforced the market-implied outcome at 100 percent. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing that allows brief warming or minor station instrumentation discrepancies, though both remain low-probability given the strength of the marine influence and model agreement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 100%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$66,777 Wol.
$66,777 Wol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$66,777 Wol.
$66,777 Wol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs converged on a daily maximum of 78–79°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 3, supported by persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer that suppressed coastal warming. This setup aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles basin, where stratus clouds and cool Pacific air keep highs well below inland values. Official observations and post-event verification have reinforced the market-implied outcome at 100 percent. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing that allows brief warming or minor station instrumentation discrepancies, though both remain low-probability given the strength of the marine influence and model agreement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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