**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.** Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th. Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 18?
40°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$58,126 Wol.
$58,126 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$58,126 Wol.
$58,126 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
$626 Wol.
No
33°C
$796 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,207 Wol.
No
35°C
$1,649 Wol.
No
36°C
$3,768 Wol.
No
37°C
$4,817 Wol.
No
38°C
$6,349 Wol.
No
39°C
$12,222 Wol.
No
40°C
$9,916 Wol.
Yes
41°C
$5,939 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$9,837 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.**
Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th.
Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,126Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.**
Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th.
Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$58,126Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.** Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th. Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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