India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$46,133 Wol.
$46,133 Wol.
May 4, 2026
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$46,133 Wol.
$46,133 Wol.
May 4, 2026
33°C or below
$13,428 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$8,071 Wol.
No
35°C
$5,383 Wol.
No
36°C
$8,941 Wol.
No
37°C
$5,439 Wol.
No
38°C
$1,693 Wol.
No
39°C
$1,257 Wol.
No
40°C
$477 Wol.
No
41°C
$673 Wol.
No
42°C
$348 Wol.
No
43°C or higher
$422 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,133Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$46,133Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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