**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C. Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,244 Wol.
$38,244 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,244 Wol.
$38,244 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
19°C or below
$1,332 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,111 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,094 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,425 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,747 Wol.
No
24°C
$12,815 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$8,719 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,123 Wol.
No
27°C
$839 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,285 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$753 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C.
Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,244Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C.
Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$38,244Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C. Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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