PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on April 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 21?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,971 Wol.
$45,971 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,971 Wol.
$45,971 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
28°C or below
$1,096 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,846 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,765 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,268 Wol.
No
32°C
$3,594 Wol.
No
33°C
$4,365 Wol.
No
34°C
$11,396 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$7,375 Wol.
No
36°C
$8,156 Wol.
No
37°C
$2,225 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$1,884 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$45,971Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$45,971Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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