PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 3?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,370 Wol.
$27,370 Wol.
May 3, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,370 Wol.
$27,370 Wol.
May 3, 2026
29°C or below
$1,612 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,114 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,187 Wol.
No
32°C
$1,566 Wol.
No
33°C
$2,660 Wol.
No
34°C
$3,902 Wol.
No
35°C
$3,655 Wol.
No
36°C
$4,222 Wol.
Yes
37°C
$3,293 Wol.
No
38°C
$2,566 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,594 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$27,370Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$27,370Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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