Official observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport, the resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 25°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts accurately predicted a 24–26°C range amid Frente Frío 45's influence, which brought chubascos (showers), northerly winds, and cloud cover that capped solar heating despite typical April highs averaging 25–27°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the high-elevation basin, where urban heat islands and diurnal patterns often peak mid-afternoon. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from SMN or airport logs uncovering measurement errors, though post-event validation renders this highly unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,476 Wol.
$54,476 Wol.
Apr 19, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,476 Wol.
$54,476 Wol.
Apr 19, 2026
18°C or below
$1,686 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,361 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,078 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,035 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,078 Wol.
No
23°C
$9,288 Wol.
No
24°C
$9,474 Wol.
No
25°C
$6,944 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$5,431 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,399 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$8,702 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport, the resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 25°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts accurately predicted a 24–26°C range amid Frente Frío 45's influence, which brought chubascos (showers), northerly winds, and cloud cover that capped solar heating despite typical April highs averaging 25–27°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the high-elevation basin, where urban heat islands and diurnal patterns often peak mid-afternoon. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from SMN or airport logs uncovering measurement errors, though post-event validation renders this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Wolumen
$54,476Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport, the resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 25°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts accurately predicted a 24–26°C range amid Frente Frío 45's influence, which brought chubascos (showers), northerly winds, and cloud cover that capped solar heating despite typical April highs averaging 25–27°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the high-elevation basin, where urban heat islands and diurnal patterns often peak mid-afternoon. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from SMN or airport logs uncovering measurement errors, though post-event validation renders this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$54,476Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport, the resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 25°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts accurately predicted a 24–26°C range amid Frente Frío 45's influence, which brought chubascos (showers), northerly winds, and cloud cover that capped solar heating despite typical April highs averaging 25–27°C. This aligns with climatological norms for the high-elevation basin, where urban heat islands and diurnal patterns often peak mid-afternoon. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from SMN or airport logs uncovering measurement errors, though post-event validation renders this highly unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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