Recent National Weather Service guidance shows an upper-level trough exiting Sunday followed by ridging building offshore, supporting gradual warming into Monday, August 3, with Seattle’s marine layer and sea-breeze circulation likely capping highs near 76–79 °F. Model consensus clusters in this range because modest differences in afternoon cloud timing, stratus erosion, and onshore flow strength can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Historical August climatology (average high ~76 °F) and the absence of strong offshore flow or subsidence inversions keep 80 °F-plus outcomes below 10 % implied probability. Traders therefore price the narrow 76–79 °F bins highest while awaiting the next model cycle and afternoon observations that will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on August 3?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 3?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
67°F or below
$126 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$70 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$15 Wol.
2%
72-73°F
$72 Wol.
9%
74-75°F
$90 Wol.
19%
76-77°F
$3,432 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$99 Wol.
30%
80-81°F
$259 Wol.
5%
82-83°F
$68 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$40 Wol.
2%
86°F or higher
$25 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows an upper-level trough exiting Sunday followed by ridging building offshore, supporting gradual warming into Monday, August 3, with Seattle’s marine layer and sea-breeze circulation likely capping highs near 76–79 °F. Model consensus clusters in this range because modest differences in afternoon cloud timing, stratus erosion, and onshore flow strength can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Historical August climatology (average high ~76 °F) and the absence of strong offshore flow or subsidence inversions keep 80 °F-plus outcomes below 10 % implied probability. Traders therefore price the narrow 76–79 °F bins highest while awaiting the next model cycle and afternoon observations that will resolve remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,296Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows an upper-level trough exiting Sunday followed by ridging building offshore, supporting gradual warming into Monday, August 3, with Seattle’s marine layer and sea-breeze circulation likely capping highs near 76–79 °F. Model consensus clusters in this range because modest differences in afternoon cloud timing, stratus erosion, and onshore flow strength can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Historical August climatology (average high ~76 °F) and the absence of strong offshore flow or subsidence inversions keep 80 °F-plus outcomes below 10 % implied probability. Traders therefore price the narrow 76–79 °F bins highest while awaiting the next model cycle and afternoon observations that will resolve remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,296Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance shows an upper-level trough exiting Sunday followed by ridging building offshore, supporting gradual warming into Monday, August 3, with Seattle’s marine layer and sea-breeze circulation likely capping highs near 76–79 °F. Model consensus clusters in this range because modest differences in afternoon cloud timing, stratus erosion, and onshore flow strength can shift the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Historical August climatology (average high ~76 °F) and the absence of strong offshore flow or subsidence inversions keep 80 °F-plus outcomes below 10 % implied probability. Traders therefore price the narrow 76–79 °F bins highest while awaiting the next model cycle and afternoon observations that will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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