National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a maximum near 91–93°F on July 18 under typical mid-summer high-pressure conditions with light easterly flow and afternoon sea-breeze development that often caps peak readings. This aligns with the 30-year July normal of 91°F and recent observations showing daily highs of 91–94°F amid a broader warm pattern across Florida without an intense heat dome. Model consensus favors limited cloud cover and modest moisture, keeping the most likely outcomes in the 90–93°F brackets that together exceed 80% implied probability, while drier air or delayed convection could briefly push readings into the mid-90s. The next NWS point forecast update and any revised model runs ahead of the daily maximum will serve as the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on July 18?
90-91°F 63%
92-93°F 20%
88-89°F 13%
86-87°F 2%
$18,949 Wol.
$18,949 Wol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
63%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 63%
92-93°F 20%
88-89°F 13%
86-87°F 2%
$18,949 Wol.
$18,949 Wol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
63%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a maximum near 91–93°F on July 18 under typical mid-summer high-pressure conditions with light easterly flow and afternoon sea-breeze development that often caps peak readings. This aligns with the 30-year July normal of 91°F and recent observations showing daily highs of 91–94°F amid a broader warm pattern across Florida without an intense heat dome. Model consensus favors limited cloud cover and modest moisture, keeping the most likely outcomes in the 90–93°F brackets that together exceed 80% implied probability, while drier air or delayed convection could briefly push readings into the mid-90s. The next NWS point forecast update and any revised model runs ahead of the daily maximum will serve as the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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