Traders assign closely matched implied probabilities around 35-37% to Miami's lowest temperature on July 19 falling in the 80-85°F range because short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty in overnight cooling. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F typically limit radiative cooling in South Florida's tropical climate, while sea breezes and variable cloud cover can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently cluster near the upper 70s to low 80s, with historical July averages around 76°F serving as baseline. Minor differences in predicted wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome before the next model update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on July 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 19?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$11,517 Wol.
$11,517 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$11,517 Wol.
$11,517 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
71°F or below
$784 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$697 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$918 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,566 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,218 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$1,087 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$1,427 Wol.
Yes
84-85°F
$2,119 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$993 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$427 Wol.
No
90°F or higher
$282 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched implied probabilities around 35-37% to Miami's lowest temperature on July 19 falling in the 80-85°F range because short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty in overnight cooling. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F typically limit radiative cooling in South Florida's tropical climate, while sea breezes and variable cloud cover can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently cluster near the upper 70s to low 80s, with historical July averages around 76°F serving as baseline. Minor differences in predicted wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome before the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,517Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched implied probabilities around 35-37% to Miami's lowest temperature on July 19 falling in the 80-85°F range because short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty in overnight cooling. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F typically limit radiative cooling in South Florida's tropical climate, while sea breezes and variable cloud cover can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently cluster near the upper 70s to low 80s, with historical July averages around 76°F serving as baseline. Minor differences in predicted wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome before the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,517Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders assign closely matched implied probabilities around 35-37% to Miami's lowest temperature on July 19 falling in the 80-85°F range because short-range forecast models show modest uncertainty in overnight cooling. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F typically limit radiative cooling in South Florida's tropical climate, while sea breezes and variable cloud cover can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently cluster near the upper 70s to low 80s, with historical July averages around 76°F serving as baseline. Minor differences in predicted wind or precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome before the next model update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania