Trader consensus has settled decisively on an 88-89°F high for Miami on May 20, driven by National Weather Service observations and short-range model output that placed peak readings squarely in this interval. South Florida’s subtropical regime in late May typically features afternoon highs near 87°F under a persistent Bermuda high, with light easterly flow and moderate moisture limiting extreme surface heating. Current data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS stations show no evidence of localized warming from urban heat islands or delayed sea-breeze effects that would push readings into the low 90s. Only a sharp, unanticipated shift in post-processing or an undocumented station bias could alter the outcome, scenarios viewed as improbable given the tight agreement across official datasets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 20?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$34,774 Wol.
$34,774 Wol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$34,774 Wol.
$34,774 Wol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has settled decisively on an 88-89°F high for Miami on May 20, driven by National Weather Service observations and short-range model output that placed peak readings squarely in this interval. South Florida’s subtropical regime in late May typically features afternoon highs near 87°F under a persistent Bermuda high, with light easterly flow and moderate moisture limiting extreme surface heating. Current data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS stations show no evidence of localized warming from urban heat islands or delayed sea-breeze effects that would push readings into the low 90s. Only a sharp, unanticipated shift in post-processing or an undocumented station bias could alter the outcome, scenarios viewed as improbable given the tight agreement across official datasets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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