Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 3?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 Wol.
$41,227 Wol.
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 Wol.
$41,227 Wol.
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
$2,251 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,270 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,319 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,479 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,559 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,557 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,198 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,631 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,498 Wol.
No
25°C
$8,339 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$8,127 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,227Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$41,227Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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