Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Northeast with light northerly flow and variable cloud cover moderating peak heating in New York City on June 23, keeping the daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 70s°F rather than the seasonal average near 80–83°F. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew points, and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F. Recent short-range guidance updates have shown minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting stable large-scale steering patterns and limited convective activity that could otherwise boost or suppress temperatures by a few degrees. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily, as resolution will hinge on official Central Park observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on June 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 23?
74-75°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$125,788 Wol.
$125,788 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$125,788 Wol.
$125,788 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
69°F or below
$5,664 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$25,148 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$13,445 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$19,704 Wol.
Yes
76-77°F
$20,022 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$20,192 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$8,983 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$6,065 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$3,872 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$2,131 Wol.
No
88°F or higher
$564 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Northeast with light northerly flow and variable cloud cover moderating peak heating in New York City on June 23, keeping the daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 70s°F rather than the seasonal average near 80–83°F. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew points, and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F. Recent short-range guidance updates have shown minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting stable large-scale steering patterns and limited convective activity that could otherwise boost or suppress temperatures by a few degrees. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily, as resolution will hinge on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$125,788Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Northeast with light northerly flow and variable cloud cover moderating peak heating in New York City on June 23, keeping the daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 70s°F rather than the seasonal average near 80–83°F. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew points, and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F. Recent short-range guidance updates have shown minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting stable large-scale steering patterns and limited convective activity that could otherwise boost or suppress temperatures by a few degrees. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily, as resolution will hinge on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$125,788Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Northeast with light northerly flow and variable cloud cover moderating peak heating in New York City on June 23, keeping the daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 70s°F rather than the seasonal average near 80–83°F. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, dew points, and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F. Recent short-range guidance updates have shown minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting stable large-scale steering patterns and limited convective activity that could otherwise boost or suppress temperatures by a few degrees. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily, as resolution will hinge on official Central Park observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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