Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on May 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 11?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$159,803 Wol.
$159,803 Wol.
May 11, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$159,803 Wol.
$159,803 Wol.
May 11, 2026
53°F or below
$2,149 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$2,235 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$1,849 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$6,321 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$46,135 Wol.
Yes
62-63°F
$28,054 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$17,810 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$15,249 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$10,014 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$21,165 Wol.
No
72°F or higher
$8,821 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$159,803Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$159,803Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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