**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 15, 2026, reflecting official observations of a daily maximum near the seasonal average.** Early wet-season patterns featured scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that limited further warming, consistent with historical June maxima clustering between 29–32°C from local meteorological records. Forecasts from regional services aligned closely with this range, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence pushed readings higher. The 99.8% implied probability accounts for minor measurement uncertainty or rounding at official stations, while outcomes at 32°C or above remain improbable without unexpected subsidence or stronger insolation. New data releases confirming the exact peak would finalize resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$22,059 Wol.
$22,059 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$22,059 Wol.
$22,059 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 15, 2026, reflecting official observations of a daily maximum near the seasonal average.** Early wet-season patterns featured scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that limited further warming, consistent with historical June maxima clustering between 29–32°C from local meteorological records. Forecasts from regional services aligned closely with this range, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence pushed readings higher. The 99.8% implied probability accounts for minor measurement uncertainty or rounding at official stations, while outcomes at 32°C or above remain improbable without unexpected subsidence or stronger insolation. New data releases confirming the exact peak would finalize resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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