Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station (LFPB), as reported by Weather Underground and aligned with Météo-France METAR data, confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, peaked at 18°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure over northern France capped daytime heating, matching pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 17-18°C amid slightly above-average spring conditions (monthly Paris max average ~18.7°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in finalized hourly records, with historical mid-April highs in the region typically 15-18°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-quality-control data revisions at the resolution station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on April 19?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$231,503 Wol.
$231,503 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$231,503 Wol.
$231,503 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station (LFPB), as reported by Weather Underground and aligned with Météo-France METAR data, confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, peaked at 18°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure over northern France capped daytime heating, matching pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 17-18°C amid slightly above-average spring conditions (monthly Paris max average ~18.7°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in finalized hourly records, with historical mid-April highs in the region typically 15-18°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-quality-control data revisions at the resolution station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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