Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature on April 22, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability backed by substantial trading volume. This outcome aligns with Météo-France's pre-event guidance projecting a peak near 20°C amid clear skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge, moderate easterly winds aiding adiabatic warming, and generous solar insolation above the mid-April climatological average of 15–16°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had converged tightly on the 18–20°C range, with morning soundings indicating ample boundary-layer heating potential. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible but could involve rare post-audit data corrections from sensor recalibrations or quality control reviews by Météo-France, though finalized station records carry authoritative weight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on April 22?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$174,593 Wol.
$174,593 Wol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$174,593 Wol.
$174,593 Wol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature on April 22, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability backed by substantial trading volume. This outcome aligns with Météo-France's pre-event guidance projecting a peak near 20°C amid clear skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge, moderate easterly winds aiding adiabatic warming, and generous solar insolation above the mid-April climatological average of 15–16°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had converged tightly on the 18–20°C range, with morning soundings indicating ample boundary-layer heating potential. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible but could involve rare post-audit data corrections from sensor recalibrations or quality control reviews by Météo-France, though finalized station records carry authoritative weight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania