Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 Wol.
$137,230 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 Wol.
$137,230 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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