Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$50,306 Wol.
$50,306 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$50,306 Wol.
$50,306 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
$3,192 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$8,753 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$8,562 Wol.
Yes
70-71°F
$4,408 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$6,469 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$5,607 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$3,414 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$5,293 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$2,482 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$1,438 Wol.
No
84°F or higher
$689 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,306Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50,306Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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