Persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal San Francisco temperatures suppressed on June 16, 2026, with National Weather Service observations at key stations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F. This aligned with model consensus from prior days showing limited warming under typical early-summer stratus patterns and no significant offshore wind events to enhance adiabatic heating. Official climatological summaries and airport data (KSFO) recorded values squarely in this narrow band, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for the 70–71°F outcome. An unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger high-pressure ridging could have pushed readings higher, but those conditions did not materialize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 16?
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$68,786 Wol.
$68,786 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$68,786 Wol.
$68,786 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
65°F or below
$21,841 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$10,803 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$6,285 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$5,453 Wol.
Yes
72-73°F
$5,627 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$5,746 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$4,105 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$4,439 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$2,836 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$909 Wol.
No
84°F or higher
$742 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal San Francisco temperatures suppressed on June 16, 2026, with National Weather Service observations at key stations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F. This aligned with model consensus from prior days showing limited warming under typical early-summer stratus patterns and no significant offshore wind events to enhance adiabatic heating. Official climatological summaries and airport data (KSFO) recorded values squarely in this narrow band, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for the 70–71°F outcome. An unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger high-pressure ridging could have pushed readings higher, but those conditions did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$68,786Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal San Francisco temperatures suppressed on June 16, 2026, with National Weather Service observations at key stations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F. This aligned with model consensus from prior days showing limited warming under typical early-summer stratus patterns and no significant offshore wind events to enhance adiabatic heating. Official climatological summaries and airport data (KSFO) recorded values squarely in this narrow band, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for the 70–71°F outcome. An unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger high-pressure ridging could have pushed readings higher, but those conditions did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68,786Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal San Francisco temperatures suppressed on June 16, 2026, with National Weather Service observations at key stations confirming a daily maximum of 70–71°F. This aligned with model consensus from prior days showing limited warming under typical early-summer stratus patterns and no significant offshore wind events to enhance adiabatic heating. Official climatological summaries and airport data (KSFO) recorded values squarely in this narrow band, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for the 70–71°F outcome. An unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger high-pressure ridging could have pushed readings higher, but those conditions did not materialize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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