Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 2?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,120 Wol.
$67,120 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,120 Wol.
$67,120 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
20°C or below
$3,725 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,586 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,253 Wol.
No
23°C
$7,656 Wol.
No
24°C
$2,016 Wol.
No
25°C
$5,851 Wol.
No
26°C
$16,812 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$11,593 Wol.
No
28°C
$5,800 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,278 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,550 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$67,120Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$67,120Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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