Official observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR)—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome with real capital at stake. This measurement, taken to the nearest whole degree Celsius, overrides pre-event INMET forecasts of cloudy conditions and isolated rain capping highs near 23°C amid autumnal cooling patterns typical for the region, where May averages hover around 23–24°C based on historical climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-finalization data revisions from the station, though none are anticipated as observations are finalized daily by 15h Brasília time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 4?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$164,267 Wol.
$164,267 Wol.
May 4, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$164,267 Wol.
$164,267 Wol.
May 4, 2026
20°C or below
$8,421 Wol.
No
21°C
$43,907 Wol.
No
22°C
$11,183 Wol.
No
23°C
$10,774 Wol.
No
24°C
$7,629 Wol.
No
25°C
$9,485 Wol.
No
26°C
$33,342 Wol.
No
27°C
$11,180 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$16,250 Wol.
No
29°C
$7,755 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$4,343 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR)—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome with real capital at stake. This measurement, taken to the nearest whole degree Celsius, overrides pre-event INMET forecasts of cloudy conditions and isolated rain capping highs near 23°C amid autumnal cooling patterns typical for the region, where May averages hover around 23–24°C based on historical climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-finalization data revisions from the station, though none are anticipated as observations are finalized daily by 15h Brasília time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$164,267Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR)—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome with real capital at stake. This measurement, taken to the nearest whole degree Celsius, overrides pre-event INMET forecasts of cloudy conditions and isolated rain capping highs near 23°C amid autumnal cooling patterns typical for the region, where May averages hover around 23–24°C based on historical climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-finalization data revisions from the station, though none are anticipated as observations are finalized daily by 15h Brasília time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$164,267Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR)—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 27°C on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome with real capital at stake. This measurement, taken to the nearest whole degree Celsius, overrides pre-event INMET forecasts of cloudy conditions and isolated rain capping highs near 23°C amid autumnal cooling patterns typical for the region, where May averages hover around 23–24°C based on historical climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post-finalization data revisions from the station, though none are anticipated as observations are finalized daily by 15h Brasília time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania