Seattle’s official high temperature on June 15, 2026, reached 89 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the station used for market resolution. This outcome aligned with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days that projected a strong thermal ridge and downslope warming under clear skies, pushing values 15–20 °F above the June normal of ~71 °F and matching or slightly exceeding the 1963 record of 88 °F. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supported surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow preventing greater mixing or marine intrusion. The 100 % market-implied probability on 88–89 °F reflects this verified observation; only an unreported station error or post-event data revision would alter the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
88-89°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$43,880 Wol.
$43,880 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$43,880 Wol.
$43,880 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
83°F or below
$2,107 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$3,233 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$5,687 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$12,024 Wol.
Yes
90-91°F
$6,297 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$5,979 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$4,429 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$1,501 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$1,231 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$771 Wol.
No
102°F or higher
$620 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle’s official high temperature on June 15, 2026, reached 89 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the station used for market resolution. This outcome aligned with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days that projected a strong thermal ridge and downslope warming under clear skies, pushing values 15–20 °F above the June normal of ~71 °F and matching or slightly exceeding the 1963 record of 88 °F. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supported surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow preventing greater mixing or marine intrusion. The 100 % market-implied probability on 88–89 °F reflects this verified observation; only an unreported station error or post-event data revision would alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$43,880Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle’s official high temperature on June 15, 2026, reached 89 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the station used for market resolution. This outcome aligned with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days that projected a strong thermal ridge and downslope warming under clear skies, pushing values 15–20 °F above the June normal of ~71 °F and matching or slightly exceeding the 1963 record of 88 °F. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supported surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow preventing greater mixing or marine intrusion. The 100 % market-implied probability on 88–89 °F reflects this verified observation; only an unreported station error or post-event data revision would alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$43,880Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Seattle’s official high temperature on June 15, 2026, reached 89 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the station used for market resolution. This outcome aligned with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days that projected a strong thermal ridge and downslope warming under clear skies, pushing values 15–20 °F above the June normal of ~71 °F and matching or slightly exceeding the 1963 record of 88 °F. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supported surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with limited cloud cover and light northerly flow preventing greater mixing or marine intrusion. The 100 % market-implied probability on 88–89 °F reflects this verified observation; only an unreported station error or post-event data revision would alter the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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