Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on June 23?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 23?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 Wol.
$71,337 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 Wol.
$71,337 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
79°F or below
$432 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$2,320 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$2,723 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$8,653 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$10,451 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$12,687 Wol.
Yes
90-91°F
$12,506 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$18,051 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$2,300 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$506 Wol.
No
98°F or higher
$708 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$71,337Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$71,337Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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