Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 Wol.
$319,806 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$319,806 Wol.
$319,806 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
10°C or below
$19,497 Wol.
No
11°C
$14,932 Wol.
No
12°C
$15,008 Wol.
No
13°C
$5,376 Wol.
No
14°C
$12,187 Wol.
No
15°C
$17,857 Wol.
No
16°C
$14,175 Wol.
No
17°C
$29,421 Wol.
No
18°C
$28,906 Wol.
No
19°C
$56,695 Wol.
Yes
20°C or higher
$105,753 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$319,806Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$319,806Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high temperature in Seoul on April 30, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) midday short-range forecast projecting a daytime peak of 19°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—amid mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and 20% afternoon precipitation odds that cap solar heating. Current observations at Seoul stations and the airport align with 19–20°C maxima, consistent with late-April climatological norms of 18–20°C following mid-month warm spells. Model ensembles show hourly peaks near but below 20°C before evening cooling. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing for intensified insolation or a southerly wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though low-probability given steering patterns; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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