Current meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in Seoul on June 12, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology for the region typically features highs near 24–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate humidity and light winds, aligning with this consensus. Real-time data from official monitoring stations show temperatures tracking precisely toward this threshold without signs of rapid intensification from advection or insolation spikes. While model consensus supports this resolution, an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized heating could still push the official high slightly higher or lower before the daily close.