**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 11?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$177,763 Wol.
$177,763 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$177,763 Wol.
$177,763 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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