Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 28?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 28?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$521,327 Wol.
$521,327 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$521,327 Wol.
$521,327 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
14°C or below
$12,155 Wol.
No
15°C
$9,981 Wol.
No
16°C
$16,711 Wol.
No
17°C
$37,076 Wol.
No
18°C
$44,808 Wol.
No
19°C
$47,096 Wol.
No
20°C
$46,520 Wol.
No
21°C
$98,896 Wol.
No
22°C
$130,002 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$31,845 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$46,238 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$521,327Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$521,327Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by real-time observational data from the Xujiahui Observatory and Pudong International Airport station—the market's official resolution sources—recording a midday peak of 22°C before clouds and light rain from an advancing frontal system suppressed further warming. This follows yesterday's anomalous 30.1°C high, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (GFS, ECMWF) converging on subdued daytime highs amid strong easterly winds, overcast skies, and precipitation reducing solar heating. April climatology averages 19°C highs, aligning with this positioning; realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon insolation are improbable as evening cools rapidly, with overnight lows near 11°C expected. Final CMA daily summary will confirm resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania