Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
31°C 100%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$264,457 Wol.
$264,457 Wol.
Jun 19, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$264,457 Wol.
$264,457 Wol.
Jun 19, 2026
24°C or below
$8,562 Wol.
No
25°C
$10,463 Wol.
No
26°C
$19,944 Wol.
No
27°C
$23,810 Wol.
No
28°C
$46,390 Wol.
No
29°C
$56,691 Wol.
No
30°C
$22,396 Wol.
No
31°C
$32,615 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$26,577 Wol.
No
33°C
$11,777 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$5,232 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$264,457Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$264,457Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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