Traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to a 31°C maximum on July 8, followed closely by 30°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions. Recent Meteorological Service Singapore updates note below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures through August, driven by possible El Niño influences that suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of localized afternoon thundery showers, southeast-to-southwest wind patterns, and boundary-layer humidity, which can cap or permit brief spikes near the seasonal 31.4°C July average. Model consensus points to highs of 29–32°C, with resolution hinging on observational data from official stations as the date nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on July 8?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$120,709 Wol.
$120,709 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$120,709 Wol.
$120,709 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to a 31°C maximum on July 8, followed closely by 30°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions. Recent Meteorological Service Singapore updates note below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures through August, driven by possible El Niño influences that suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of localized afternoon thundery showers, southeast-to-southwest wind patterns, and boundary-layer humidity, which can cap or permit brief spikes near the seasonal 31.4°C July average. Model consensus points to highs of 29–32°C, with resolution hinging on observational data from official stations as the date nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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