Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 22?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$145,279 Wol.
$145,279 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$145,279 Wol.
$145,279 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
26°C or below
$2,841 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,780 Wol.
No
28°C
$14,524 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,335 Wol.
No
30°C
$6,154 Wol.
No
31°C
$7,392 Wol.
No
32°C
$12,846 Wol.
No
33°C
$40,863 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$15,928 Wol.
No
35°C
$14,886 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$12,730 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Wolumen
$145,279Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:42 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$145,279Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:42 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature hitting exactly 33°C on April 22, anchored by real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, where the mercury peaked at 33°C mid-afternoon amid dominant high-pressure ridging and dry air mass. Subsequent hourly readings show a steady decline with rising humidity, southerly sea breezes, and solar angle reduction limiting further intensification as evening approaches. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from CWA and ECMWF ensembles projecting a 32–34°C cap based on recent heat dome persistence over East Asia. Realistic challenges include rare post-sunset data revisions from outlying sensors or an improbable nocturnal heat burst, though sunset nears resolution with final CWA daily bulletin expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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