The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Wol.
$99,838 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Wol.
$99,838 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
24°C or below
$3,382 Wol.
No
25°C
$9,705 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,372 Wol.
No
27°C
$5,942 Wol.
No
28°C
$34,527 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$8,787 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,490 Wol.
No
31°C
$6,479 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,699 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,939 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$8,516 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$99,838Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$99,838Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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