Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$338,042 Wol.
$338,042 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$338,042 Wol.
$338,042 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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