Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
25°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$53,561 Wol.
$53,561 Wol.
May 3, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$53,561 Wol.
$53,561 Wol.
May 3, 2026
18°C or below
$2,074 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,031 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,201 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,371 Wol.
No
22°C
$7,589 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,087 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,842 Wol.
No
25°C
$11,900 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$6,406 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,834 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$4,226 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,561Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$53,561Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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