Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5 most likely between 30–32°C under typical early-September conditions of high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean. These coastal influences and light winds help moderate peak heating near the seasonal average of about 31°C, keeping extremes less probable. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs—such as subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity profiles, or boundary-layer mixing—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C, with lower odds on outliers. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
32°C 63%
33°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
63%
33°C
36%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
32°C 63%
33°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
9%
31°C
$0 Wol.
27%
32°C
$33 Wol.
63%
33°C
$0 Wol.
36%
34°C
$0 Wol.
17%
35°C
$0 Wol.
4%
36°C
$0 Wol.
2%
37°C
$0 Wol.
2%
38°C
$0 Wol.
2%
39°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5 most likely between 30–32°C under typical early-September conditions of high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean. These coastal influences and light winds help moderate peak heating near the seasonal average of about 31°C, keeping extremes less probable. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs—such as subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity profiles, or boundary-layer mixing—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C, with lower odds on outliers. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$33Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5 most likely between 30–32°C under typical early-September conditions of high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean. These coastal influences and light winds help moderate peak heating near the seasonal average of about 31°C, keeping extremes less probable. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs—such as subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity profiles, or boundary-layer mixing—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C, with lower odds on outliers. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5 most likely between 30–32°C under typical early-September conditions of high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean. These coastal influences and light winds help moderate peak heating near the seasonal average of about 31°C, keeping extremes less probable. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs—such as subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity profiles, or boundary-layer mixing—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C, with lower odds on outliers. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania