Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived outputs and agency guidance, show Tel Aviv highs stabilizing near 31–32 °C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and typical early-September Mediterranean subsidence. This consensus, consistent with climatological baselines of ~31 °C for the period, underpins the dominant 32 °C market-implied probability. Minor model spread around 30–33 °C reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating, while the absence of synoptic shifts such as stronger onshore flow or upper-level troughs keeps tails below 10 %. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour verification window will refine these values.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
32°C 70%
33°C 17%
31°C 6%
30°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
70%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 17%
31°C 6%
30°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
$80 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$300 Wol.
1%
30°C
$142 Wol.
4%
31°C
$11 Wol.
6%
32°C
$526 Wol.
70%
33°C
$323 Wol.
17%
34°C
$125 Wol.
3%
35°C
$205 Wol.
1%
36°C
$381 Wol.
1%
37°C
$396 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$296 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived outputs and agency guidance, show Tel Aviv highs stabilizing near 31–32 °C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and typical early-September Mediterranean subsidence. This consensus, consistent with climatological baselines of ~31 °C for the period, underpins the dominant 32 °C market-implied probability. Minor model spread around 30–33 °C reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating, while the absence of synoptic shifts such as stronger onshore flow or upper-level troughs keeps tails below 10 %. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour verification window will refine these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,785Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived outputs and agency guidance, show Tel Aviv highs stabilizing near 31–32 °C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and typical early-September Mediterranean subsidence. This consensus, consistent with climatological baselines of ~31 °C for the period, underpins the dominant 32 °C market-implied probability. Minor model spread around 30–33 °C reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating, while the absence of synoptic shifts such as stronger onshore flow or upper-level troughs keeps tails below 10 %. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour verification window will refine these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,785Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived outputs and agency guidance, show Tel Aviv highs stabilizing near 31–32 °C on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and typical early-September Mediterranean subsidence. This consensus, consistent with climatological baselines of ~31 °C for the period, underpins the dominant 32 °C market-implied probability. Minor model spread around 30–33 °C reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating, while the absence of synoptic shifts such as stronger onshore flow or upper-level troughs keeps tails below 10 %. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour verification window will refine these values.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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