Current short-range forecasts from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 near 24–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. Typical September climatology features overnight lows of 22–26°C in this coastal Mediterranean location, moderated by sea breezes and urban effects, with little day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage. Trader consensus clusters around the 23–25°C and 30°C+ bins, reflecting model spread in exact radiative cooling rates and potential for slightly warmer advection, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C remain unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 92%
21°C 88%
23°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
92%
21°C
88%
22°C
84%
23°C
88%
24°C
47%
25°C
84%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
94%
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 92%
21°C 88%
23°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
92%
21°C
$0 Wol.
88%
22°C
$0 Wol.
84%
23°C
$0 Wol.
88%
24°C
$0 Wol.
47%
25°C
$0 Wol.
84%
26°C
$12 Wol.
8%
27°C
$12 Wol.
8%
28°C
$34 Wol.
8%
29°C
$0 Wol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 near 24–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. Typical September climatology features overnight lows of 22–26°C in this coastal Mediterranean location, moderated by sea breezes and urban effects, with little day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage. Trader consensus clusters around the 23–25°C and 30°C+ bins, reflecting model spread in exact radiative cooling rates and potential for slightly warmer advection, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C remain unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$58Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 near 24–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. Typical September climatology features overnight lows of 22–26°C in this coastal Mediterranean location, moderated by sea breezes and urban effects, with little day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage. Trader consensus clusters around the 23–25°C and 30°C+ bins, reflecting model spread in exact radiative cooling rates and potential for slightly warmer advection, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C remain unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$58Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 near 24–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal cooling. Typical September climatology features overnight lows of 22–26°C in this coastal Mediterranean location, moderated by sea breezes and urban effects, with little day-to-day variability expected absent a frontal passage. Trader consensus clusters around the 23–25°C and 30°C+ bins, reflecting model spread in exact radiative cooling rates and potential for slightly warmer advection, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C remain unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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