**Recent model consensus and official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a high near 97°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, with a 20% chance of morning showers followed by mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph.** The market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F reflects lingering uncertainty from Tropical Storm Edouard’s influence, which increased cloud cover and showers through September 3, producing cooler readings in the low 90s that day. Clearing skies and southerly flow on the 4th are expected to allow temperatures to rebound toward the upper 90s, consistent with late-summer patterns where highs often reach or exceed the 93°F climatological average. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any lingering moisture, afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy conditions, and local variations in the urban heat island effect. Higher outcomes (98°F+) remain possible if skies clear earlier or winds remain light, while lower readings (below 92°F) would require more persistent cloud cover or heavier showers than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on September 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 4?
94-95°F 31%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 15%
98-99°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
85°F or below
2%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
6%
104°F or higher
7%
94-95°F 31%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 15%
98-99°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
85°F or below
$54 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
9%
90-91°F
$0 Wol.
7%
92-93°F
$207 Wol.
26%
94-95°F
$52 Wol.
31%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
15%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
15%
100-101°F
$0 Wol.
6%
102-103°F
$0 Wol.
6%
104°F or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a high near 97°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, with a 20% chance of morning showers followed by mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph.**
The market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F reflects lingering uncertainty from Tropical Storm Edouard’s influence, which increased cloud cover and showers through September 3, producing cooler readings in the low 90s that day. Clearing skies and southerly flow on the 4th are expected to allow temperatures to rebound toward the upper 90s, consistent with late-summer patterns where highs often reach or exceed the 93°F climatological average.
Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any lingering moisture, afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy conditions, and local variations in the urban heat island effect. Higher outcomes (98°F+) remain possible if skies clear earlier or winds remain light, while lower readings (below 92°F) would require more persistent cloud cover or heavier showers than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$314Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a high near 97°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, with a 20% chance of morning showers followed by mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph.**
The market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F reflects lingering uncertainty from Tropical Storm Edouard’s influence, which increased cloud cover and showers through September 3, producing cooler readings in the low 90s that day. Clearing skies and southerly flow on the 4th are expected to allow temperatures to rebound toward the upper 90s, consistent with late-summer patterns where highs often reach or exceed the 93°F climatological average.
Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any lingering moisture, afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy conditions, and local variations in the urban heat island effect. Higher outcomes (98°F+) remain possible if skies clear earlier or winds remain light, while lower readings (below 92°F) would require more persistent cloud cover or heavier showers than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$314Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a high near 97°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, with a 20% chance of morning showers followed by mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph.** The market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F reflects lingering uncertainty from Tropical Storm Edouard’s influence, which increased cloud cover and showers through September 3, producing cooler readings in the low 90s that day. Clearing skies and southerly flow on the 4th are expected to allow temperatures to rebound toward the upper 90s, consistent with late-summer patterns where highs often reach or exceed the 93°F climatological average. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any lingering moisture, afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy conditions, and local variations in the urban heat island effect. Higher outcomes (98°F+) remain possible if skies clear earlier or winds remain light, while lower readings (below 92°F) would require more persistent cloud cover or heavier showers than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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