Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 9°C, as recorded in standard METAR reports amid persistent northerly airflow, overcast conditions, and limited solar heating. This aligns with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) preliminary data, showing daytime peaks around midday before cooling under cloudy skies, well below the April climatological average of 13–15°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from IMGW final summaries, such as an overlooked urban heat outlier, though airport instrumentation ensures high reliability; expect confirmation in daily climate bulletins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 29?
9°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$124,378 Wol.
$124,378 Wol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$124,378 Wol.
$124,378 Wol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 9°C, as recorded in standard METAR reports amid persistent northerly airflow, overcast conditions, and limited solar heating. This aligns with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) preliminary data, showing daytime peaks around midday before cooling under cloudy skies, well below the April climatological average of 13–15°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from IMGW final summaries, such as an overlooked urban heat outlier, though airport instrumentation ensures high reliability; expect confirmation in daily climate bulletins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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