Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 9?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$67,824 Wol.
$67,824 Wol.
May 9, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$67,824 Wol.
$67,824 Wol.
May 9, 2026
9°C or below
$2,368 Wol.
No
10°C
$3,217 Wol.
No
11°C
$6,080 Wol.
No
12°C
$10,988 Wol.
No
13°C
$8,793 Wol.
No
14°C
$8,823 Wol.
No
15°C
$6,722 Wol.
Yes
16°C
$7,354 Wol.
No
17°C
$6,889 Wol.
No
18°C
$3,073 Wol.
No
19°C or higher
$3,517 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$67,824Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$67,824Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania