MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 24 reached 14°C around midday, with hourly readings peaking at 13.8–14.4°C before declining steadily to 10°C by evening amid light winds and clearing skies. This aligns with autumnal diurnal cycles in Wellington, where reduced solar insolation post-noon limits further warming, especially under transitioning northerlies. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this real-time data from NIWA-aligned monitoring, capturing the day's peak heating window. Realistic challenges include rare late-afternoon foehn warming or post hoc data adjustments, though improbable given the cooling trajectory and sunset timing; final daily maximum reports expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 24?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$156,543 Wol.
$156,543 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$156,543 Wol.
$156,543 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 24 reached 14°C around midday, with hourly readings peaking at 13.8–14.4°C before declining steadily to 10°C by evening amid light winds and clearing skies. This aligns with autumnal diurnal cycles in Wellington, where reduced solar insolation post-noon limits further warming, especially under transitioning northerlies. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this real-time data from NIWA-aligned monitoring, capturing the day's peak heating window. Realistic challenges include rare late-afternoon foehn warming or post hoc data adjustments, though improbable given the cooling trajectory and sunset timing; final daily maximum reports expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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