Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Wol.
$61,546 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Wol.
$61,546 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
$317 Wol.
No
9°C
$311 Wol.
No
10°C
$1,743 Wol.
No
11°C
$2,590 Wol.
No
12°C
$6,243 Wol.
No
13°C
$16,223 Wol.
No
14°C
$11,857 Wol.
Yes
15°C
$8,210 Wol.
No
16°C
$9,389 Wol.
No
17°C
$4,048 Wol.
No
18°C or higher
$615 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$61,546Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$61,546Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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