Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 26?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Wol.
$173,811 Wol.
Jun 26, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Wol.
$173,811 Wol.
Jun 26, 2026
5°C or below
$31,253 Wol.
No
6°C
$10,696 Wol.
No
7°C
$2,737 Wol.
No
8°C
$13,339 Wol.
No
9°C
$9,320 Wol.
No
10°C
$50,732 Wol.
No
11°C
$22,108 Wol.
Yes
12°C
$11,562 Wol.
No
13°C
$7,765 Wol.
No
14°C
$7,310 Wol.
No
15°C or higher
$6,988 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$173,811Data zakończenia
Jun 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$173,811Data zakończenia
Jun 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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