SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Wol.
$7,458 Wol.
May 31, 2026
≤8
No
9
No
10
No
11
No
12
Yes
13
No
14 or more
No
12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Wol.
$7,458 Wol.
May 31, 2026
≤8
$944 Wol.
No
9
$1,066 Wol.
No
10
$204 Wol.
No
11
$479 Wol.
No
12
$1,028 Wol.
Yes
13
$1,911 Wol.
No
14 or more
$1,825 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,458Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Wolumen
$7,458Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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