Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66.5% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting recent polls showing him leading Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8 points (50%-42%) in a March GBAO survey of likely voters. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds is term-limited, creating a rare flip opportunity in the red state, amplified by Sand's record-breaking petition signatures, fundraising momentum, and local economic concerns. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to toss-up on April 9, citing bipartisan internal polling edges for Sand ahead of the June 2 primaries, where he faces no Democratic opposition while Feenstra navigates a crowded GOP field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIowa Governor Election Winner
Iowa Governor Election Winner
$28,460 Wol.
$28,460 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
67%
Republican
31%
$28,460 Wol.
$28,460 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$13,191 Wol.
67%
Republican
$15,270 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66.5% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting recent polls showing him leading Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8 points (50%-42%) in a March GBAO survey of likely voters. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds is term-limited, creating a rare flip opportunity in the red state, amplified by Sand's record-breaking petition signatures, fundraising momentum, and local economic concerns. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to toss-up on April 9, citing bipartisan internal polling edges for Sand ahead of the June 2 primaries, where he faces no Democratic opposition while Feenstra navigates a crowded GOP field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,460Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66.5% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting recent polls showing him leading Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8 points (50%-42%) in a March GBAO survey of likely voters. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds is term-limited, creating a rare flip opportunity in the red state, amplified by Sand's record-breaking petition signatures, fundraising momentum, and local economic concerns. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to toss-up on April 9, citing bipartisan internal polling edges for Sand ahead of the June 2 primaries, where he faces no Democratic opposition while Feenstra navigates a crowded GOP field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$28,460Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66.5% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting recent polls showing him leading Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8 points (50%-42%) in a March GBAO survey of likely voters. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds is term-limited, creating a rare flip opportunity in the red state, amplified by Sand's record-breaking petition signatures, fundraising momentum, and local economic concerns. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to toss-up on April 9, citing bipartisan internal polling edges for Sand ahead of the June 2 primaries, where he faces no Democratic opposition while Feenstra navigates a crowded GOP field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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