A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect April 17, pausing hostilities to facilitate negotiations for a permanent security agreement amid the 2026 Lebanon war that began March 2 with Israeli ground operations in the south. Israel retains troops in a southern security zone and self-defense rights against Hezbollah threats, while Lebanon pledges to curb militant attacks; Hezbollah acknowledged the truce but affirmed resistance prerogatives. U.S. officials note potential mutual extension if talks advance and Lebanon demonstrates sovereignty, with Day 10 falling April 27—traders eye compliance, violations, or diplomatic breakthroughs like border talks as pivotal amid fragile de-escalation signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?
NOWE
$36,148 Wol.
April 21
16%
April 26
77%
$36,148 Wol.
April 21
$19,775 Wol.
16%
April 26
$16,373 Wol.
77%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect April 17, pausing hostilities to facilitate negotiations for a permanent security agreement amid the 2026 Lebanon war that began March 2 with Israeli ground operations in the south. Israel retains troops in a southern security zone and self-defense rights against Hezbollah threats, while Lebanon pledges to curb militant attacks; Hezbollah acknowledged the truce but affirmed resistance prerogatives. U.S. officials note potential mutual extension if talks advance and Lebanon demonstrates sovereignty, with Day 10 falling April 27—traders eye compliance, violations, or diplomatic breakthroughs like border talks as pivotal amid fragile de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$36,148Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect April 17, pausing hostilities to facilitate negotiations for a permanent security agreement amid the 2026 Lebanon war that began March 2 with Israeli ground operations in the south. Israel retains troops in a southern security zone and self-defense rights against Hezbollah threats, while Lebanon pledges to curb militant attacks; Hezbollah acknowledged the truce but affirmed resistance prerogatives. U.S. officials note potential mutual extension if talks advance and Lebanon demonstrates sovereignty, with Day 10 falling April 27—traders eye compliance, violations, or diplomatic breakthroughs like border talks as pivotal amid fragile de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
Wolumen
$36,148Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect April 17, pausing hostilities to facilitate negotiations for a permanent security agreement amid the 2026 Lebanon war that began March 2 with Israeli ground operations in the south. Israel retains troops in a southern security zone and self-defense rights against Hezbollah threats, while Lebanon pledges to curb militant attacks; Hezbollah acknowledged the truce but affirmed resistance prerogatives. U.S. officials note potential mutual extension if talks advance and Lebanon demonstrates sovereignty, with Day 10 falling April 27—traders eye compliance, violations, or diplomatic breakthroughs like border talks as pivotal amid fragile de-escalation signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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