Rebels from the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated attacks around Gao since the April 2026 offensive, seizing Kidal and claiming gains in surrounding areas while ambushing Malian convoys and downing aircraft in the Gao region during July operations. Malian forces, supported by Russia’s Africa Corps, have repelled direct assaults on the city, retained the airport, and conducted counterattacks and airstrikes to hold key positions. No full rebel capture has occurred despite intensified fighting through September, leaving traders to price in limited rebel momentum and strong government defenses over the remaining months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
16% szansa
$12,996 Wol.
$12,996 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
16% szansa
$12,996 Wol.
$12,996 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.Rebels from the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated attacks around Gao since the April 2026 offensive, seizing Kidal and claiming gains in surrounding areas while ambushing Malian convoys and downing aircraft in the Gao region during July operations. Malian forces, supported by Russia’s Africa Corps, have repelled direct assaults on the city, retained the airport, and conducted counterattacks and airstrikes to hold key positions. No full rebel capture has occurred despite intensified fighting through September, leaving traders to price in limited rebel momentum and strong government defenses over the remaining months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,996Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.Rebels from the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated attacks around Gao since the April 2026 offensive, seizing Kidal and claiming gains in surrounding areas while ambushing Malian convoys and downing aircraft in the Gao region during July operations. Malian forces, supported by Russia’s Africa Corps, have repelled direct assaults on the city, retained the airport, and conducted counterattacks and airstrikes to hold key positions. No full rebel capture has occurred despite intensified fighting through September, leaving traders to price in limited rebel momentum and strong government defenses over the remaining months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if anti-government militant groups capture Gao (https://maps.app.goo.gl/FtqiU2uJhZ1buGgn7) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if anti-government militant groups have established military control over the "Mosquée Koweït مسجد" (https://maps.app.goo.gl/9kHdjxTue43yCFky5) by the resolution date.
If anti-government militant groups come into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants anti-government militant groups de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once anti-government militant groups capture the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that anti-government militant groups have captured the specified point.
Wolumen
$12,996Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Rebels from the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM have conducted coordinated attacks around Gao since the April 2026 offensive, seizing Kidal and claiming gains in surrounding areas while ambushing Malian convoys and downing aircraft in the Gao region during July operations. Malian forces, supported by Russia’s Africa Corps, have repelled direct assaults on the city, retained the airport, and conducted counterattacks and airstrikes to hold key positions. No full rebel capture has occurred despite intensified fighting through September, leaving traders to price in limited rebel momentum and strong government defenses over the remaining months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania