Forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's September 23 overnight minimum stems from evolving model consensus on cloud cover, wind patterns, and air mass advection ahead of a possible frontal passage. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or showers could limit drops to 14°C or higher. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with historical September climatology placing average lows near 10°C. Traders are weighting these variables evenly across outcomes because the next 48-hour model updates and observational data could shift the balance before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 95%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
23%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
95%
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 95%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
39%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
23%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 Wol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's September 23 overnight minimum stems from evolving model consensus on cloud cover, wind patterns, and air mass advection ahead of a possible frontal passage. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or showers could limit drops to 14°C or higher. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with historical September climatology placing average lows near 10°C. Traders are weighting these variables evenly across outcomes because the next 48-hour model updates and observational data could shift the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's September 23 overnight minimum stems from evolving model consensus on cloud cover, wind patterns, and air mass advection ahead of a possible frontal passage. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or showers could limit drops to 14°C or higher. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with historical September climatology placing average lows near 10°C. Traders are weighting these variables evenly across outcomes because the next 48-hour model updates and observational data could shift the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Amsterdam's September 23 overnight minimum stems from evolving model consensus on cloud cover, wind patterns, and air mass advection ahead of a possible frontal passage. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or showers could limit drops to 14°C or higher. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with historical September climatology placing average lows near 10°C. Traders are weighting these variables evenly across outcomes because the next 48-hour model updates and observational data could shift the balance before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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